When the model is right but the outcome is wrong

Nate Silver is on record (somewhere) as saying that he was greatly relieved when the most likely outcome of the 2012 election was the actual outcome. He had build a model of what was going to happen that represented the probabilities of certain occurrences. People incorrectly interpreted this as predictions that could be right or […]

Building an Audience

The SK NDP leadership race just went through a sprint to the finish for memberships. Memberships purchased prior to January 25th allowed people to vote in the leadership race. Those purchased after the deadline are not permitted to do so. I’m sure the reasons for this are good (or if they’re not, they’ll be changed), […]

How to use Facebook.

Pro-tip, it’s all about momentum. Recent changes to the way that Facebook promotes posts, and the way that people are encouraged to pay to promote, means that there’s a fair amount of confusion about how to use it effectively for promotion of bands, brands, and organizations. To me Gordon Withers‘ excellent blog is an example […]

Whether or not to be aggressive in politics

There’s been a bit of buzz about the attack ads run by the Sask party (that’s the provincial right-wing party) against the four NDP provincial leadership candidates… 5 months before the leadership will be resolved. In the comments to a Maclean’s piece today, Ron Waller says: The basic rule of thumb is to stand up against […]